Bill Parcells’ QB Rules: Breaking down the top QBs in the 2019 NFL Draft

Who’s the top QB in the 2019 NFL Draft? Some say it’s Dwayne Haskins. Others say it’s Kyler Murray. We’ve even heard some say there’s no clear frontrunner at the position. With not much clarity at the QB position in the 2019 NFL Draft, we thought we’d take a look at how Hall of Fame head coach Bill Parcells would evaluate these QBs. Year’s ago, Bill Parcells develop rules for drafting a QB. We’re going to use Bill Parcells’ QB rules and apply them to the 2019 NFL Draft class to help us determine which QB should be the first off the board.

Bill Parcells' QB Rules
IX8A4446” by Maize & Blue Nation is licensed under CC BY 2.0

Before we start evaluating the top QBs in the 2019 NFL Draft using Bill Parcells’ QB rules, we have to take a look at what those rules are. Bill Parcells’ QB rules contain seven criteria a QB must meet. Let’s take a look at what those seven criteria are below.

  1. Be a three-year starter
  2. Be a senior in college
  3. Graduate from college
  4. Start 30 games
  5. Win 23 games
  6. Post a 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio
  7. Compete at least 60% of passes thrown

Now that we know the criteria, let’s start taking a look at the top QBs in this year’s draft class. I wanted to stick to just five QBs, but we’re actually going to take a look at six. The reason for that is because I’ve seen Will Grier and Ryan Finley ranked both fifth and sixth by several different sources. For this evaluation, we’ll rank them tied at fifth, with the QBs above them being Dwayne Haskins, Kyler Murray, Drew Lock and Daniel Jones.

 

Applying Bill Parcells’ QB Rules

Dwayne Haskins – Ohio State

  • Three year starter? – No (One year)
  • Senior in college? – No
  • Did he graduate? – No
  • 30 starts? – No (14 starts)
  • Did he win 23 games? – No (13)
  • 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio? – Yes (54:9)
  • 60% completions? – Yes (70%)

Criteria met: 2/7

 

Kyler Murray – Oklahoma

  • Three year starter? – No (One year)
  • Senior in college? – No
  • Did he graduate? – No
  • 30 starts? – No (17 starts)
  • Did he win 23 games? – No (14)
  • 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio? – Yes (50:14)
  • 60% completions? – Yes (67.4%)

Criteria met: 2/7

 

Drew Lock – Missouri

  • Three year starter? – Yes (Three+)
  • Senior in college? – Yes
  • Did he graduate? – Yes
  • 30 starts? – Yes (46 starts)
  • Did he win 23 games? – No (21)
  • 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio? – Yes (99:39)
  • 60% completions? – No (56.9%)

Criteria met: 5/7

 

Daniel Jones – Duke

  • Three year starter? – Yes (Three)
  • Senior in college? – Yes (Technically a fourth year junior, so we’ll count it)
  • Did he graduate? – Yes
  • 30 starts? – Yes (36 starts)
  • Did he win 23 games? – No (17)
  • 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio? – No (52:29)
  • 60% completions? – No (59.9%, Ouch, just barely missed the cut)

Criteria met: 4/7

 

Will Grier – West Virginia

  • Three year starter? – No (Two+)
  • Senior in college? – Yes
  • Did he graduate? – Yes
  • 30 starts? – No (28 starts)
  • Did he win 23 games? – No (21)
  • 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio? – Yes (81:23)
  • 60% completions? – Yes (65.7%)

Criteria met: 4/7

 

Ryan Finley – NC State

  • Three year starter? – Yes (Three)
  • Senior in college? – Yes
  • Did he graduate? – Yes
  • 30 starts? – Yes (42 starts)
  • Did he win 23 games? – Yes (27)
  • 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio? – Yes (63:30)
  • 60% completions? – Yes (64.2%)

Criteria met: 7/7

 

After evaluating the top six QBs in the 2019 NFL Draft using Bill Parcells’ QB rules, the only QB who met all seven criteria was Ryan Finley. The next closest on the list was Drew Lock (5/7), followed by Daniel Jones and Will Grier (4/7). It’s interesting that the two QBs widely considered the best in this class meet just two of the seven criteria.

This criteria doesn’t necessarily mean Dwayne Haskins and Kyler Murray won’t be good NFL QBs. The same goes for Drew Lock, Daniel Jones and Will Grier. It doesn’t necessarily mean Ryan Finley will be the best QB from this class. You’ll notice the seven criteria in Bill Parcells’ QB rules don’t include much about their actual traits and intangibles as QBs. For the most part, the point of this evaluation is to see which QBs have the mental toughness, accuracy, durability and experience needed at the position. Just a fun fact: Baker Mayfield was the only QB among the first-rounders last season who checked off all seven criteria. So far, that’s worked out nicely for the Cleveland Browns.

For me personally, if I’m one of the teams in the market for a QB at the top of the draft, I’m not taking Ryan Finley. However, I’m not going to argue with a Hall of Fame head coach. Among the top QBs, Ryan Finley won this evaluation. We’ll soon be looking at the later round QBs in this draft class, looking to see if anyone can match Finley in these categories.

Advertisements

3 comments

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s